WEEKLY REPORT (05122011)

WEEKLY REPORT (05122011)

 

          www.janibrothers.in        NISHESH JANI  

 

Member of Following Organization

(1) American association Of Individual Investors

(2) Association Of Technical Market Analyst(affi)-Member Of MTA

(3) The Association Of Technical Analyst-Member Of IFTA

 

As expected in the last week newsletter “SANTA CLAUS RALLY IN MARKET” comes by 1200 point in sensex and 300 point in nifty itself.

 

In the last week some delivery based stock given and they have given good return like acc rise 8%,itc rise 8%,hul rise 5%,petronet rise 7%,gmdc rise 3%,hero Honda rise 2%,idea rise 1%,while arvind and grindwell Norton fall by 1% each.

 

In the next few day as earlier week analysis market will not be able to cross 17900 and 5400 in this rally.

 

In the days to come this rise will be treated as counter trend or pullback rally only, there are few reason behind that.

 

(1)   In this rise of nifty this is the part of 672 point head and shoulder.

 

(2)   As per gan turning date market makes major top and bottom on gain date and as per this gann date was on 1 and 2 December and that has given good rally so probability of trend reverse is higher.

 

(3)   As per time series Monday will be the 8th day from low of 4640 and again this will be considers as trend reversal day.

 

(4)   And more important is low volume and low VIX suggest that this rally will lose steam soon.

 

Those who are futures traders can keep watch on below stock and can trade short as per their levels, because I cannot give levels right now because it depend on market sentiments but will send to clients.

 


3i infotech

Aban

Bajaj hind

Bgr

Central bank

Fsl

Gvkpil

Ivrcl

Jsw

Ktk

Litl

Neyveli

r.com

r.infra

r.power

Dchl

Escorts

Adani power

Sci

Voltas

Jp asso

WEEKLY REPORT (14112011)

             WEEKLY REPORT (14112011)

 

          www.janibrothers.in        NISHESH JANI  

 

Member of Following Organization

(1) American association Of Individual Investors

(2) Association Of Technical Market Analyst(affi)-Member Of MTA

(3) The Association Of Technical Analyst-Member Of IFTA

 

In the last week with negative IIP number market has created bar reversal pattern and with this on daily chart bracket theory negative breakout so this may pressure on market in week coming

 

As per earlier view of larger degree wave C correction is pending and this is only a corrective rally in bear market and looking at the overall market structure we may assume that as per 9 legged diametric formation top has been made above 5400 and now  we are heading to 4500-3800 levels in months to come.

 

In my earlier article I have given down side target of selected sensex and nifty stock which I am aging give if u have missed or forget.

 


STOCK NAME

TARGETS

Axis bank

659-557

Bhel

278

Dr reddy

1011-517

Gail

220

Hcl tech

130

Hindalco

48

Icici

574-479

Idfc

66

Infosys

1786

Larsen

989-717

Maruti

848

Pnb

574

Ranbaxy

311-220-109

Reliance ind

669

Sail

66

Sbi

1140-954

Sesa goa

145

Tata power

67

Tata steel

272

Tcs

434

Wipro

257

Jindal steel

349-237-204

Sterlite

79

 

15 shares that can outperform the overall market in medium term

 

(1)   ACC-stop loss 1040

(2)   HIND UNILEVER-stop loss 325     

(3)   HERO HONDA-stop loss 1700

(4)   CHAMBEL FERTI-stop loss 83

(5)   STERLING HOLIDAY-stop loss 8

(6)   GIND WELL-stop loss 225

(7)   PAPER PRODUCTS-stop loss 67

(8)   LUPIN-stop loss 425

(9)   PRAJ IND-stop loss 75

(10)                      PARSVNATH –stop loss 47

(11)                      GMDC-stop loss 138

(12)                      PETRONET-stop loss 137

(13)                      IDEA-stop loss 74

(14)                      ITC-stop loss 176

(15)                      ARVIND-stop loss 76

 

10 shares that can outperform the overall market in short term

 


STOCK NAME

STOP LOSS

Gitanjali gems

336

Hind unilever

324

Itc

198

Dish tv

70

Praj ind

71

Gateway

138

Lupin

450

Kajariya

111

Bharti airtel

373

Petronet lng

161

 

 

  

Disclaimer : While due care has been taken in preparing the above Analysis, no responsibility can be or is assumed for any consequences resulting out of acting on it.

     NISHESH JANI www.janibrothers.in +91 9227065762

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WEEKLY REPORT (03102011)

Last week was quite volatile and it is batter to keep stock specific approach in market.

 

Let’s discuss the current pattern on sensex and nifty.

 

Only daily chart sensex and nifty has already breakdown the box worth 817 and 272 points so in coming days I expect fall up to 15557 and 4484 in sensex and nifty.

 

On weekly chart sensex and nifty is forming box worth 1446 and 456 points, when sensex and nifty gives weekly close below 15765 and 4718 I expect free fall up to 14319 and 4262.

 

Short term investors can buy and hold below stock with given stop loss which will be updated every week to minimize loss and maximize profit

 

Exit only when stock close below the stop loss levels

 


STOCK NAME

STOP LOSS

ARVIND

86

GUJ FLOURO

492

IGL

407

VIP

871

AMTEK INDIA

110

LA OPLA

98

NESTLE

4188

SUAVE HOTEL

100

VST IND

1259

 

 

In the Grip of bear cartel-aurobindo pharma-sun tv-everon education-free fall up to 71%,45%,35% respectively as per bracket theory

Aurbindo Pharma

Recently, the Central Bureau of Investigation (CBI) raided Aurobindo Pharma’s offices in connection with the case of alleged financial misdeeds and illegal amassment of wealth by Kadapa MP YS Jagan Mohan Reddy.

As shown in chart stock has given long term down trend at 25 February 2011 by making low 156

Now as per bracket theory down side up to 68-59-38 levels

Potential down side from current price of 133 is 71%

 

Sun tv network

sun TV were under pressure ever since CBI alleged that chairman Kalanidhi Maran brokered the deal between the Maxis group of Malaysia and his brother Dayanidhi Maran, then telecom minister.

As shown in chart stock has given long term down trend at 7 February

 2011 by making low 370

Now as per bracket theory down side up to 201-163 levels

Potential down side from current price of 300 is 45%

 

Everon education

The arrest on a bribery and tax evasion charge of its managing director, P Kishore, and resignation of its shocked chairman, J J Irani, industry players started questioning the fundamentals of the company.

As shown in chart stock has given long term down trend at 22 august 2011 by making low 419

Now as per bracket theory down side up to 166 levels

Potential down side from current price of 253 is 35%

 

 

MEGHA INVESTMENT NEWSLETTER

                            (Meaning of MEGHA is Smartest)

What's Inside?

  • Weekly market view
  • A short list of stocks to buy
  • Weekly updates on all recommended stocks, and clear recommendations on when to sell

 

·         MY RESEARCH METHOLOGY – Simple Economics:

 

·         Simple stated, Nishesh Jani focused on the “PRICE OF a STOCK-COMMODITY” because it is the ultimate determination of supply and demand in the market. When you cut through all the red tap on market, what moves price is supply and demand.

·         If there are more buyers the sellers willing to sell, the price will move higher. If there more sellers the buyers willing to buy, the price will move lower.

·         Therefore, recording the price action of a stock-commodity can yield important information as to who is winning the battle for that stock-commodity-supply or demand.

·         Technical analysis has been around for over 100 years. One of the first proponents of the technical was Charles Dow, the first editor of the Wall Street journal.charles Dow was fundamentalist at heart, yet he understood the importance of supply and demand relation in any stock-commodity.

·         There are various technical methodology which are logical, organized way of recording this simple economics concept known as supply and demand.

 

 

 

Benefits of Technical Analysis:

·         Charts are indigenous to stock market/commodities market trading which give you both the immediate and long term view.

·         Formations, patterns and signals are easy to recognize and interpret, and tend to repeat themselves.

·         Valid targets can be established.

·         It enables the investor to stay on a winner while it is winning and get off a loser quickly.

·         It quickly gives idea that who is holding control over market demand or supply

lest do the back testing of rakesh junjuwals portfolios stock that how much return we may have earn if followed the theory which i will use to give calls in this news latter

 


STOCK

BUY DATE

BUY PRICE

EXIT PRICE

CMP

RETURN

VIP

10 AUG 2009

78

 

780

900%

LUPIN

8 MAY 2009

150

 

455

203%

TITAN

24 JULY 2009

69

 

203

194%

AGRO TECH

2 JUN 2009

163

 

380

133%

CRISIL

24 JULY 2009

3760

 

7800

107%

MCALLY BHA

16 JULY 2009

143

241

 

68%

KARUR VYSYA

1 OCT 2009

212

 

350

65%

HOEC

27 JULY 2009

146

161

 

10%

GEOMATRIC

26 NOV 2009

54

61

 

12%

ORCHID CHEM

25 NOV 2009

191

231

 

20%

ALPHA GEO

20 OCT 2009

249

187

 

-25%

APTECH

26 AUG 2009

265

150

 

-44%

AUTO LIN

20 JULY 2010

165

122

 

-26%

BILCARE

31 JULY 2010

550

389

 

-30%

VICEROY

30 DEC 2009

51

35

 

-32%

TOTAL RETURN

 

 

 

 

103%

 

Charges-RS 1300 for 1 Year

Name : Chandresh Chavda(customer care executive)


Mobile : +91 9227065762

 I follow only Big Trend  and continue follow till it dosent reverse to down trend and lest see some interesting money making guru who dose the same

Jesse Livermore (Considered by many to be the greatest stock market operator ever. Made 100 million dollars in 1929 stock market crash. Made several other multi-million dollar fortunes in his trading career).

 

Richard Dennis (Turned 400 dollars into a fortune of at least 200 million dollars by using his remarkable trading skills).

 

-Ed Seykota (One of the greatest traders of all time. Turned 5000 dollars into an incredible 15 million dollars or more).

 

-Paul Tudor Jones (An amazingly consistent and successful trader. In 2006, earned a whopping 750 million dollars).

 

Bernard Baruch (Fantastic trader who earned ten’s of millions of dollars in the first part of the 20th century).

 

- Michael Marcus (In a ten-year period, he multipled his company account by an incredible 2500 times).

 

-Bruce Kovner (One of the world’s largest traders in the 1980s. Made profits of over 300 million trading for himself).

 

-Randy McKay (Turned $2000 into $70,000 his first year of trading. Went on to double digit million dollar gains).

WEEKLY REPORT

                 WEEKLY REPORT (08082011)

 

          www.janibrothers.in        NISHESH JANI       

 

In the last article hints given that market is forming lower top and lower bottom and market will see pain in coming months, now correction has just started

 

In the last week article I have analyze the portfolio of rakesh junjunwalas and I hope u like it, so every week first we will update on his portfolio and stop loss levels so you can have more information on long term investments.

 


STOCK

STOP LOSS

VIP IND

690

TITAN

178

RALLIES

144

LUPIN

410

KAJARIA CERAMIC

96

DELTA CORP

90

CRISIL

6400

AUTOLINE IND

SL HIT

AGRO TECH FOOD

340

PRIME FOCUS

58

 

In the last week article I have given buy and sell list of stock from which u likely earn good profit, in this article I will not recommends any stock but will discuss in detail about the next picture of stock market

 

DAILY CHART

 

On daily chart sensex is making expanding triangle and 7 legged diametric formation and by breaking low of 17295 it has confirmed expanding triangle and leg G start now will see fall up to 15581

 

WEEKLY CHART

 

From long time I was saying that head and shoulder is forming and limited upside now formation in place and break the support line now will see fall up to 13000

 

 

MONTHLY CHART

 

From long time I was saying larger degree wave c correction is pending now which is also start and will see fall up to 16172-14617-13062, this formation will over either of this levels.

 

Disclaimer : While due care has been taken in preparing the above Analysis, no responsibility can be or is assumed for any consequences resulting out of acting on it.

     NISHESH JANI www.janibrothers.in +91 9227065762

 

WEEKLY REPORT-with up graded stop loss of rakesh junjunwalas portfolio

                 WEEKLY REPORT (01082011)

 

          www.janibrothers.in        NISHESH JANI       

 

In the last week article I have analyze the portfolio of rakesh junjunwalas and I hope u like it, so every week first we will update on his portfolio and stop loss levels so you can have more information on long term investments.

 


STOCK

STOP LOSS

VIP IND

660

TITAN

178

RALLIES

144

LUPIN

390

KAJARIA CERAMIC

96

DELTA CORP

88

CRISIL

6300

AUTOLINE IND

144

AGRO TECH FOOD

320

PRIME FOCUS

55

 

Now lest focus on market, looking at the daily chart of sensex it is forming lower top and lower bottom formation which is not a good indication and may see more pain in market in coming months.

 

Here I am giving some future trading calls and these calls are already given to paid members.

 

BUY LIST

 

HEXAWARE

 

Buy given at 78.50 with stop loss 74

 

BATA INDIA

 

Buy given at 640 with stop loss 620

 

 

 

ARVIND MILLS

 

Buy given at 90 stop loss 84

 

HIND ZINC

 

Buy given at 138 with stop loss 138

 

BHARTI AIRTEL

 

Buy given at 437.50 with stop loss 410

 

SELL LIST

 

GVKPIL

 

Sell given at 20 with stop loss 20

 

PUNJ LYOD

 

Sell given at 72 with stop loss 78

 

BGR ENERGY

 

Sell given at 495 with stop loss 470

 

UNITECH

 

Sell given at 34 with stop loss 37

 

PATEL ENG

 

Sell given at 145 with stop loss 146

 

 

 

 

 

COMMODITIES TRADING CALLS

(1) GOLD

long term trend bullish

fresh buying can be done above 23400

support/stop loss 22230

(2) SILVER

long term trend bullish

fresh buying can be done above 60900

support/stop loss 57700

(3) ZINC

long term trend bullish

fresh buying can be done above 110

support/stop loss 103

(4) LEAD

long term trend bullish

fresh buying can be done above 121

support/stop loss 114

(5) COPPER

long term trend bullish

fresh buying can be done above 439

support/stop loss 410

(6) NATURAL GAS

long term trend bullish

fresh buying can be done above 200

stop loss 189

(7) CRUDE OIL

long term trend bullish

fresh buying can be done above 4450

support/stop loss 4225

PROFIT/LOSS PER 1 RS



COMMODITIES           MAIN LOT SIZE                MINI LOT SIZE

GOLD                                      100                                        10

SILVER                                   30                                           5

ZINC                                       5000                                     1000

LEAD                                      5000                                     1000

COPPER                                 1000                                       N.A.

NATURAL GAS                    1250                                       N.A.

CRUDE OIL                           100                                       N.A.

 

Super Stock From Rakesh Junjunwals Portfolio

               WEEKLY REPORT (25072011)

 

          www.janibrothers.in      NISHESH JANI       

 

Good week for the market, stock specific action was seen across mid and small cap stock.

 

In this report would not like to talk about stock market direction but will talk about India’s warren Buffett Mr. rakesh junjhnwala whose name every investor and trader knows for his stock picking ability and find out multibagger at early stage.

 

You may know that rakesh has made fortune by early investing in stock like titan-crisil-lupin-Rallis-beml and list goes on.

 

Apart from finding multibagger he has made bed investments in such stock like feddorlyod-punj lyod-geomatric-info media etc.

 

In the last week I was watching Business news channel and reading business paper everyone was talking about that he has purchased SUBEX and stock was catching fancy across channels-news paper and discussion forums but no one is talking about his exit from punj lyod! Surprise? That’s true….

 

Now one thing is clear that u cannot find multibagger every time from his portfolio and can make fortune.

 

As per my understanding to make good profit from market trade and invest in those stock which are technically and relatively stronger in market with stop loss method.

 

Here I am giving you list of the stock in which rakesh hold more the 1%

 


Viceroy hotel

 

Geojit

 

Crisil

 

Bil care

 

Praj ind

 

Ion exchange

 

Geometric

 

Zen technologies

 

Agro tech food

 

Prime focus

 

Vip ind

 

Auto line ind

 

Delt  corp

 

Hoec

 

Rallies

 

Alphageo

 

Orchid chem.

 

Titan

 

Reliance broad cast

 

Ncc

 

A2z

 

Kajariya

 

Provogue

 

Mcnally bharat

 

 

 

 

Technically out of 23 stock there are10 stock which are in super cycle and relatively strong stock in which we can make investments with stop loss, I will update this stop loss time to time.

 


STOCK

STOP LOSS

Vip ind

660

Titan

176

Rallies

142

Lupin

390

Kajariya

95

Delta corp

87

Crisil

6000

Autoline ind

138

Agro tech food

310

Prime focus

 

53

 

Disclaimer : While due care has been taken in preparing the above Analysis, no responsibility can be or is assumed for any consequences resulting out of acting on it.

     NISHESH JANI www.janibrothers.in +91 9227065762

WEEK START FROM 18-07-2011

               WEEKLY REPORT (18072011)

 

          www.janibrothers.in        NISHESH JANI       

 

In the last week market closed with negative with creating bar reversal pattern and for the next week will see resistance of 5660.

 

As earlier said there is down side in the market as per head and shoulder and Elliott wave large degree wave C ,we will see sensex resistance at 19000 and fall up to 14000.

 

Stock specific activity will be seen.

 

Here I am giving 5 fundamental strong stock with technical stop loss and consider stop loss and exit below the stop loss level if stock start trading below it.

 

GODREJ CONSUMER

 

Trading at 440 buy with stop loss 350

 

AGROTECH FOOD

 

Trading at 375 buy with stop loss 300

 

HSIL

 

Trading at 178 buy with stop loss 160

 

V-GUARD

 

Trading at 230 buy with stop loss 190

 

SINTEX IND

 

Trading at 182 buy with stop loss 158

 

 

 

 

 

Above is based on fundamental and technical stock call now let’s focus on technical calls

 

PETRONET LNG

 

Buying can be done with stop loss 134

 

ADOR FON TECH

 

Buy above 134 with stop loss 120

 

TITAN IND

 

Buy above 229 with stop loss 210

 

HCL TECH

 

Buy above 513 with stop loss 480

 

HEXAWARE

 

Buy above 78 with stop loss 67

 

ESCORTS

 

Hold sell with stop loss 120

 

BHEL

 

Hold sell with stop loss 2010

 

RELIANCE MEDIA

 

Hold sell with stop loss 135

 

GVKPIL

 

Hold sell with stop loss 21

 

 

 

KSOIL

 

Hold sell with stop loss 22

 

LITL

 

Hold sell with stop loss 22.50

 

MOSER BAR

 

Hold with stop loss 41

 

PATEL ENG

 

Hold with stop loss 160

 

All levels are cash-spot level and trading according to it in future.

 

Disclaimer : While due care has been taken in preparing the above Analysis, no responsibility can be or is assumed for any consequences resulting out of acting on it.

     NISHESH JANI www.janibrothers.in +91 9227065762